BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Garden Grove Mormon Trail

Class: 1A Class Rank: 126 Conference: (8-8) Overall: (8-12) Overall Strength =   41.94

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2007 Home    L    45.59  61   62   1A  118 ( 6-16) Mount Ayr               4.49     -5.49                      
  2 11/30/2007 Away    W *  39.08  64   49   1A  140 ( 6-15) Diagonal               -2.02     17.02                      
  3 12/04/2007 Home    L *  46.16  67   68   1A  104 (14- 6) Lamoni                  5.06     -6.06                      
  4 12/07/2007 Away    L *  39.58  43   59   1A   98 (18- 4) Murray                 -1.52    -14.48                      
  5 12/14/2007 Away    L *  47.02  50   54   1A  104 (14- 6) Lamoni                  5.92     -9.92                      
  6 12/18/2007 Away    W *  48.87  74   54   1A  138 ( 6-15) Melcher-Dallas          7.77     12.23                      
  7 12/20/2007 Home    L    54.70  55   58   2A  114 (13-10) Leon Central Decatur   13.60    -16.60                      
  8 12/21/2007 Home    W *  39.55  62   36   1A  143 ( 4-17) Russell                -1.55 *   27.55  no report           
  9 01/04/2008 Away    L *  32.91  43   59   1A  123 (12- 9) Bussey Twin Cedars     -8.19     -7.81                      
 10 01/08/2008 Home    W *  43.50  59   58   1A  122 (10-10) Seymour                 2.40     -1.40                      
 11 01/14/2008 Neutral W *  49.98  67   64   1A  123 (12- 9) Bussey Twin Cedars      8.88     -5.88                      
 12 01/18/2008 Neutral L *  57.53  61   68   1A   48 (18- 3) Moulton-Udell          16.43    -23.43  Bluegrass Conference Semifinals
 13 01/19/2008 Neutral L *  25.44  57   76   1A  122 (10-10) Seymour               -15.66     -3.34  Bluegrass Tournament 3rd place game
 14 01/22/2008 Home    L *  16.00  49   58   1A  138 ( 6-15) Melcher-Dallas        -25.10     16.10                      
 15 01/25/2008 Away    L *  45.46  66   87   1A   48 (18- 3) Moulton-Udell           4.36 *  -25.36                      
 16 01/28/2008 Home    W *  47.21  76   49   1A  140 ( 6-15) Diagonal                6.11     20.89                      
 17 01/31/2008 Away    L    41.05  61   78   1A   88 (13-10) Southeast Warren       -0.05    -16.95  was 01/03 now 01/31 
 18 02/01/2008 Home    W *  41.31  67   56   1A  134 ( 6-16) Moravia                 0.21     10.79                      
 19 02/08/2008 Home    W *  24.07  52   26   1A  144 ( 1-17) Lineville-Clio        -17.03 *   43.03                      
 20 02/14/2008 Neutral L    36.99  46   70   1A   66 (19- 5) Orient-Macksburg       -4.11    -19.89                      
      Averages              41.10  59.0 59.5

Best game:   57.53 = 7 point loss to Moulton-Udell
Worst game:  16.00 = 9 point loss to Melcher-Dallas
Team stdev:  10.25